Weather Bot
Forecasts for the exact station that settles each Polymarket temperature bet, against market prices.
Read moreWhat copying Polymarket's top traders would really have made, after delays and fees.
Can you get rich copying Polymarket's top traders?
We took 91 leaderboard wallets, ranked them using only data from before a cutoff date, then measured what a copier would have made afterwards at 30 second, 5 minute and 1 hour delays, after fees.
No wallet or category was reliably profitable to copy, 11 of the top 20 stopped trading entirely, and copying a crypto bot and the market makers lost money with statistical confidence.
Forecasts for the exact station that settles each Polymarket temperature bet, against market prices.
Read moreCollecting funding from leveraged traders, with price moves hedged out.
Read moreCalculated odds for 5 and 15 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum up or down markets.
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